The property tax gap

The Star Tribune ran a story recently called The property tax gap that seemed to highlight something I’ve seen lately in housing transactions.  Because there is a lot of data available on various county web sites, often times buyers and sellers go there to do some research to justify a particular price for a home.  And while this is certainly a good source, it by no means is the definitive source or authority in what the price of a home should be.

For example, I conducted some analysis on homes sold in the Foxberry Farms development in Medina, MN.  To my surprise, I found that some homes had tax assessed values within 2% of market value (recent sold price) and some homes were assessed nearly 30% below market value.  So if you were to use tax assessed value to come up with market value, you would have a huge 30% price swing.

Minnesota Job Growth Strongest in 22 Years

32,900 new jobs were added in the State of Minnesota during the second quarter (April – June, 2006) this year.  This was the strongest growth in jobs in the state in 22 years and it accounted for 10% of the new jobs created in the U.S. during the quarter!  In fact, there are now 73,110 more jobs in MN in June ’06 versus June ’05 (2.7% growth in jobs).

This is good news for the housing market.  While increasing mortgage rates mean people can’t afford as much, the underlying job strength will help support the marketplace.

Job creation has been a real disappointment for the State of Minnesota and the Pawlenty administration.  While home builders rapidly increased the number of units built the past 3-4 years, job creation lagged behind.  Now that the builders are pulling back on the number of units they are building, the jobs are increasing.  Provided interest rates remain roughly where they are today +/- .5%, this market should be in better shape in 2007.

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