Providence Academy Open Houses: November 8th and 15th

Providence Academy is holding two open houses for prospective students and their parents to come see what the school is all about. My family has moved around the country quite a bit in the past 15 years so I’ve had an opportunity to experience many different schools. I currently have two high school kids at Providence Academy. It’s my opinion this is the best school in the Twin Cities and is well on its way to being one of the top schools in the nation. In fact, the school was named once again to the Top 50 list of Catholic schools in the U.S. for the fourth year running.

Providence Academy is a Catholic college prep school for grades pre-K through 12th grade. They aren’t afraid to teach the Catholic Faith but you should know that the school is not limited to Catholics. There are a number of Protestant Christian students there as well. The faculty is top notch. The students who graduate are very well prepared even for the most elite colleges in the country. (I must admit that I am a little jealous of the education my children are receiving there because I would have liked to have experienced that same caliber of training, education and formation).

The open houses are November 8th and the 15th from 6:30 – 9:00 PM. Please call the admissions department if you’d like to register for one of the open houses. They can be reached at 763-258-2502.

Providence Academy is located at:

15100 Schmidt Lake Road, Plymouth, MN 55446

If you’re looking for the best education for your child, then you really should consider Providence Academy.

City of Medina, MN: 2030 Comprehensive Plan Open Houses

The City of Medina, MN has been working on their 2030 comprehensive plan update for the past year or so.   If you recall, last fall they held several neighborhood meetings in conjunction with the development and discussion of the various aspects that go in to a comprehensive plan including housing and business development, sewer, water, and transportation.

Medina will hold two open houses this week for the public to come in and see what’s in the plan.  Once approved by the Medina City Council, it will have to go the the Met Council where there will likely be lots of give and take and negotiating over the plan.

Open Houses will be held at the Hamel Community Building located at 3200 Mill Drive, Medina (Uptown Hamel).  The times are as follows:
Thursday, October 25, 2007 from 7:00 – 9:00 PM

Saturday, October 27, 2007 from 9:00 – 11:00 AM

There is an additional public hearing that is scheduled for November 27, 2007…most likely that will be held at Medina City Hall.

400 Unit Senior Living & Nursing Home Approved for Plymouth – County Road 47 Traffic Concern

Trillium Woods has been approved by the City of Plymouth. This will add a wide mix of housing options for senior citizens as over 400 units will be constructed on the 46 acre parcel south of County Road 47 at Chesire Lane in Northwest Plymouth. (Note, Cheshire Lane will need to be extended to meet County Road 47. It does not connect at this time).
Construction is set to begin next year. The development is expected to be built in two phases, but it’s not expected that the project will be fully completed until 2016.

Issues with traffic on County Road 47 certainly had the Plymouth City Council members concerned. There still is no resolution as to who will ultimately end up owning County Road 47. There has been some talk that Hennepin County wants to give the road to the City of Plymouth, but I’ve heard the costs could run as high as $20 million to get the road improved.

For more details on the development see the Lakeshore Weekly News article.
The website for Trillium Woods has a wonderful map of the property located here.

Bridgewater at Lake Medina – TJB Homes Sold This Beautiful Rambler

It’s nice to see houses continuing to sell in Medina. I had an opportunity to walk through this home built by TJB Homes. It is on the northwestern part of the Bridgewater at Lake Medina. The home sold for $895,000. What’s interesting about the photos provided in the link is that they didn’t include pictures of the screened porch which was absolutely spectacular in my opinion. It was big and airy and must have had a 15′ ceiling!

TJB Homes also was selected by the TV Show “Extreme Makeover Home Edition” to build a home for a family in Minnetonka. That show is tentatively scheduled to air on November 25th for a 2 hour special as it will be the 100th episode of “Extreme Makeover Home Edition.”

For those unfamiliar with Bridgewater at Lake Medina, it is a Charles Cudd Development. Charles Cudd as a video about the development here. They originally just had three custom home builders allowed to build for this development. Those builders were Charles Cudd, Wooddale Builders, and Lecy Brothers Homes. Since the housing market slowed a few other builders have now purchase lots and are building homes. I’m aware of both LeGran and TJB who are now building in Bridgewater at Lake Medina.

Bridgewater is generally seen as a step up in luxury homes from Foxberry Farms but not as highend as Wild Meadows.

Charles Cudd has this Bridgewater at Lake Medina plat on their web site:

Bridgewater_at_Lake_Medina_Plat_Map

“Ethanol’s Water Shortage” WSJ

Some might ask, what’s with the posting about ethanol on a real estate blog?

In case you missed the opinion piece in Wednesday’s Wall Street Journal, this is must reading for everyone as the energy debate and the challenge to find and develop alternative fuels impacts us all.

How this relates to housing is the fact that ethanol plants need to be located close to major metropolitan areas because of transportation issues. Because they use a truly stunning amount of water, they will draw down the acquifers in the area. Battles are already being fought across the country as more ethanol plants are approved for construction.

If you think it has been difficult and expensive to water your lawn the past couple of years, just wait if Congress passes the latest “renewable fuels” bill. According the the WSJ, we currently consume about 7 billion gallons of ethanol per year right now. The bill will require that to jump to 36 billion gallons per year by 2022. They also say that a Cornell University professor by thte name of David Pimentel says that, “when you count the water needed to grow corn, one gallon of ethanol requires 1,700 gallons of water.” If true, that’s incredible!

If we start to go down this road, the Chanhassen Total Watering Ban that occured this summer will be commonplace and it won’t hit in late July or August like it did this year. I believe there will be either highly restricted water use or year round total watering bans.

A big yard might become increasingly a luxury of the past and a liability for the future.

The National Center for Policy Analysis published this excellent summary below of the Wall Street Journal’s piece:

Heavily subsidized and absurdly inefficient, corn-based ethanol has already driven up food prices. But the Senate’s plan to increase production to 36 billion gallons by 2022, will place even greater pressure on farm-belt aquifers, says the Wall Street Journal.

Consider:

  • Ethanol plants consume roughly four gallons of water to produce each gallon of fuel, but that’s only a fraction of ethanol’s total water habit.
  • Cornell University ecology professor David Pimentel says that when you count the water needed to grow the corn, one gallon of ethanol requires a staggering 1,700 gallons of H2O.

Some corn-producing regions are already scrapping over dwindling supply:

  • Kansas is threatening to sue neighboring Nebraska for consuming more than its share of the Republican River.
  • There is local opposition to a proposed ethanol plant in Erskine, Minnesota, with anti-refinery yard signs sprouting up and residents concerned about well water.
  • Backers of a proposed plant in Jamestown, North Dakota, recently withdrew their application when it became clear that the plant’s million-gallon-a-day appetite would drain too much from a local aquifer.

Further, ethanol’s big environmental footprint is not limited to water, because biofuels like ethanol are highly inefficient, says the Journal:

  • Growing corn to produce ethanol means converting land from food production to fuel production.
  • Writing in Science magazine, Renton Righelato and Dominick Spracklen estimate that in order to replace just 10 percent of gasoline and diesel consumption, the United States would need to convert a full 43 percent of its cropland to ethanol production.

The alternative approach — clearing wilderness — would mean more greenhouse gases in the atmosphere than simply sticking with gasoline, because the CO2-munching trees cut down to make way for ethanol absorb more emissions than ethanol saves.

Source: Editorial, Ethanol’s Water Shortage,” Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2007.

First American LoanPerformance August 2007 House Price Index: MN down 1.32%

California, Nevada, Arizona and Florida Continue to Exhibit Home Price Declines

SAN FRANCISCO, Oct. 18, 2007–First American LoanPerformance, a member of The First American Corporation (NYSE:FAF) family of companies and a leader in residential mortgage data and analytics for the mortgage industry and Wall Street, today announced the release of its August 2007 LoanPerformance Home Price Index (HPI).

First_American_LoanPerformance_Home_Price_Index_August

Thanks to Calculated Risk for initially publishing this on their site.

It’s interesting to see this depicted on a national map. Minnesota is this island in the midwest where it appears everyone else is appreciating at 0-5% but we are depreciating 0-5%. The actual statistics that this firm quotes is that we are down 1.32%

The real damage is in California, the southwest as well as Florida.

Minnesota REO (Real Estate Owned) Filings Down 8% Sequentially Q307 vs. Q207

ForeclosureS.com countered the data released this week from competitor RealtyTrac that overhyped the recent foreclosure numbers. Remember, like the mainstream media, these websites that cater to the housing crisis can also fall prey to sensationalizing the news or data reports in order to captures more web visitors and subscribers. People love real estate and when the TV news runs a report on the state of the housing market, they get viewers. When the newspapers and magazines run big cover stories on housing, they sell copies. It’s business folks. (I subscribe to both – they are each $50 per month to have access to the data).

But given that this is a business, let’s look at the business of real estate. The table below is from the ForeclosureS.com press release and it shows that in Minnesota, the number of REO (real estate owned (by banks)) filings dropped by 8% in Q307 vs. Q207. While there is no way we’re out of the woods yet with regard to the foreclosure problem, this is a bit of good news in an otherwise dreary market. (For those not in Minnesota, it has rained 16 out of the last 17 days and we’ve gone from a drought to an extra 10-12″ of rain fall).

From the ForeclosureS.com press release on Sunday:

Sunday, October 14, 2007 @ 10:35:00 PM

The Truth: Foreclosed Homes TUMBLE 21.5% in September

Nonetheless year-to-date seven states reported solid decreases in the number of REO filings over the same time period last year, McGee adds. Those states, according to ForeclosureS.com, include Massachusetts, Utah, Colorado, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Pennsylvania.

On a quarterly basis, 15 states had a drop in the number of REO filings in the third quarter compared with the second quarter, as follows:

Nationwide REOs

Q2, 2007

Q3, 2007

Change

State

Households

Filings

Per Cap

Filings

Per Cap

% Chg

Kentucky

519,279

504

0.10%

499

0.10%

-1

Indiana

1,227,550

4,338

0.35%

4,174

0.34%

-4

Georgia

2,064,706

8,297

0.40%

7,979

0.39%

-4

Utah

647,063

553

0.09%

516

0.08%

-7

Minnesota

787,594

1,263

0.16%

1,162

0.15%

-8

Ohio

4,089,437

11,808

0.29%

10,674

0.26%

-10

Wyoming

58,746

120

0.20%

108

0.18%

-10

Wisconsin

1,082,023

1,086

0.10%

932

0.09%

-14

Kansas

541,191

1,246

0.23%

1,019

0.19%

-18

Mississippi

80,530

258

0.32%

207

0.26%

-20

Arkansas

599,653

1,578

0.26%

1,257

0.21%

-20

North Dakota

204,025

173

0.08%

135

0.07%

-22

Alabama

766,038

2,073

0.27%

1,173

0.15%

-43

Pulte Homes’ Monster Sale: October 19 – 21, 2007

Remember when K. Hovnanian had their huge sale a couple of weeks ago?  Apparently it was a huge success across the country and they sold approximately 2,100 homes that weekend.  Some of the incentives were as high as $100,000 ($80,000 in upgrades and $20,000 in financing incentives).

Well, it appears Pulte is now trying to do the same thing.  These national home builders must generate cash even more than they need to clear out inventory.  Obviously, sales like this are designed to do both.  It will be interesting to see if they can have similar success as K. Hovnanian had.

The national home builders run the risk that the Detroit auto makers faced when they went to 0% financing.  After a while people just didn’t buy unless they got the 0% financing deal.  We might be moving toward this model with new construction.  Only time will tell.

Pulte has a number of developments in the Twin Cities including the Creekside Estates in Maple Grove.

Mortgage Bankers Association – Recovery Not Seen Until 2009

Mathew Padilla published this article in his Mortgage Insider column for the Orange County Register.

The Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts loan making will drop nearly 15 percent to $2.31 trillion this year from $2.73 trillion in 2006. And it will fall another 18% next year and 6% in 2009 on a year-over-year basis.

However, in 2009 the trade group sees a 5% increase in purchase loans, which will be offset by an 18% decline in refinancing.

There are still many sellers sitting on the sidelines who didn’t sell in 2007 because they figured it would be better in the  spring of ’08.  It now looks like ’07 is the better year to sell.  2008 will see another decline nationwide on home sales.  We have no information yet as to what the local forecast is for the Twin Cities for 2008.

Minnesota New Homes – Blog

I’ve been looking for Twin Cities builders who are blogging and I’ve found my first one.  Jake Hines is blogging for Brandl Anderson Homes, Inc.  His blog is Minnesota New Homes.

It’s great to see at least one builder out in front of this new communication medium.

As I become aware of other bloggers, I will post those as well.  I’m going to create a category called “Blogs: Twin Cities Real Estate”