Twin Cities Housing Supply Outlook – May 2008

This is an incredible report that the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors produces.  This Housing Supply Outlook has been updated for May 2008.  You can’t see individual cities, but it rolls up incredible detail across the Twin Cities metro from price ranges to types of housing to new construction versus existing housing.

Congratulations to Jeff Allen, Research Manager, for the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors for putting together such a great report!

Here’s Jeff’s note that he put out to the Realtors:

For a full, detailed look at how changing supply-demand dynamics are affecting various price ranges and property types in our regional housing market, take a look at the May Housing Supply Outlook. You won’t find anything with this much detail on the Twin Cities housing market anywhere else. Highlights:

The entire housing market—in both supply and demand—is seeing a downward shift in activity towards the lower price ranges, likely a result of the increasing market share of foreclosures and short sales. Compared to this time last year, the supply of homes under $150,000 is up 87.2 percent and home sales in that price range are up 49.8 percent. There is far less happening in the middle and upper price brackets.

A much smaller share of condominiums are foreclosures or short sales than the townhouse and single-family detached markets. It’s not a coincidence then that the average sales price and price per square foot of condos is actually holding relatively steady and not seeing dramatic overall value declines.

New construction inventory is still down significantly—21.7 percent behind this time last year, to be exact. The months supply of new construction inventory is only up 2.8 percent in the last year to 11.4 months, compared to a 24.0 percent increase for the previously owned market.

Contact MAAR Research Manager, Jeff Allen, at jeffa@mplsrealtor.com or 952.988.3126 if you have questions or comments about this research tool.

Twin Cities Real Estate Market Report – Week of May 12, 2008 – New Listings Continue to Decline

The Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors are out with their weekly report.  Below is their commentary.

In Minnesota, warmer weather typically equates to listing increases. But compared to previous years, the run-up to the 2008 summer selling season in the Twin Cities housing market has been meek. The number of new listings for the week ending May 3 was 16.6 percent behind the same time last year—the ninth consecutive week of decline relative to a year ago. Buyer activity is also slower. Over the last three months, pending sales are hovering around a 16 percent year-over-year decline.

This week’s edition of the MAAR Weekly Market Activity Report features updated figures for several important metrics. As the spring season begins, the Average Days on Market Until Sale decreased to 154 while the Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale increased slightly to 91.7. The Housing Affordability Index decreased to 151, due to slight seasonal increases in sales price and interest rates. Finally, the Months Supply of Inventory increased to 10.2 months; a 5- to 6-month supply rate is considered indicative of a balanced market.

It’s nice to see the selling activity starting to slow consistently.  9 consecutive weeks of lower listing activity is a good thing to see; additionally, the number of homes for sale now are finally lower than they were a year ago.  Buyers are still sluggish as pending sales activity remains soft.  We need to start to see that moving consistently in to the negative single digits to really start to see some improvement.