Existing Home Sales Jump to 1 1/2 Year High

The existing home sales report just came out from the National Association of Realtors for January 2012.  It shows that homes sales continue to pick up and the supply of homes for sale continues to decline.

REALTORS Confidence Improves

The National Association of REALTORS published its latest findings on how REALTORS are feeling about sales activity and there is a noticeable improvement in the findings.  Part of this might be due to seasonal issues but the could be discounted a bit because we are still in the depths of winter.  It does seem like things are starting to pick up in many segments.

Chart: HousingWire

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National Association of Realtors Raises Annual Dues by $40 – Time to Thin the Herd?

I for one am happy to see the National Association of Realtors raise its dues by $40.   Realtors must now pay $120 per year instead of $80 per year to NAR.  I am sure Realtors everywhere are going to be all riled up about this price hike.  Frankly, they should have doubled it and that would have been a good start.  Perhaps we will eliminate a 100,000 – 200,000 Realtors across the country because of the $40 hike…I’m not kidding.

Many local associations across the country are against the hike because they won’t get their dues as people will start fleeing the business.  (I’ve not yet read a comment from the Minnesota Association or the Minneapolis Association). What the public doesn’t understand is that the real estate business is built around shear numbers and not necessarily quality.

The way the real estate model works is the brokers, local/state/national associations just want bodies…lots of bodies.  They need lots of them to pay their dues.  That’s unfortunately, a big driver in this business.  It’s no wonder the public has such a low regard for Realtors.  Is it not justified based upon the business models the associations and brokers have set up?

The National Association of Realtors says they need more money to lobby politicians to defend private property rights that are under attack as well as to defend the industry.  I believe they need the money to defend the MID – mortgage interest deduction.  The is the mother load in the real estate industry.  I will write more on this in the future, but this is couched as a benefit for home ownership, and there’s no doubt it is, but in reality, I believe it’s a big Realtor subsidy and there is NO WAY the National Association of Realtors is going to let that go quietly in to the night.

What I’d like to know is given the U.S. government debt problem, spending problem, entitlement problem, is there not one group in the country that can stand up and take a leadership position on this?  Everyone wants everyone else to cut.  The Realtors are no different.  Perhaps they want to see reform in some other areas, but they say DO NOT TOUCH the MORTGAGE INTEREST DEDUCTION.  I say it’s time to put that deduction on the table now.  Everyone says we shouldn’t do this now especially since the housing market is so fragile.  I think they should do it now and get it over with.  I used to think we’d see another almost immediate 10-15% reduction in home prices, but now I’m not so sure.  I think there’s 5-10% downside risk already.  Would removing the MID make that any worse?  Not sure.

Watch for more turmoil from the Realtors.   I’m sure many will enjoy watching the implosion…especially the guys on the discussion board at Calculated Risk blog which I enjoy reading.

No New Housing Market Subsidies in President Obama’s State of the Union Speech

Has the National Association of Realtors lost their power and influence?  President Obama announced lots of new initiatives, strategies and reorganizations, but there was no mention of helping housing except perhaps to consolidate 5 government agencies that have some involvement in housing.  Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think there should be any new initiatives for housing other than figure out what to do with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac which are still big problems that at some point will have to be addressed by our lawmakers.

One of the things the National Association of Realtors could do is to encourage a change to accounting rules and allow investors to be able to accelerate their depreciation for investment real estate.