Minnesota State Government Shutdown Looms – Real Estate Transactions Expected to Continue as Normal

It’s expected that the Minnesota State government will shut down come July 1, 2011.  Obviously the shutdown will impact many businesses and have some impact in the Minnesota economy.  However, with regard to real estate transactions, from what I’m hearing from mortgage brokers and title companies is that we should be able to continue to close transactions as we normally would.  Remember, the recording of the real estate documents gets done at the county level and not at the state level.

Minnesota Public radio (MPR) has an FAQ on the State of Minnesota government shutdown if you’d like to know more information regarding what might be impacted.

Robert Shiller of Yale and Case-Shiller Index – Future Housing Prices Difficult to Predict

Yahoo News on the Daily Ticker has the spectacular headline of “Shiller: Housing Could Fall Another 25% But Is Harder to Predict Than the Weather.”

The media is not to be trusted on delivering worthwhile news.   Remember, they are in the business of driving traffic which allows them to sell more advertising impressions.  Shiller is misrepresented in this headline in my opinion but it will drive traffic and get attention.

Robert Shiller, Yale Professor, and co-developer of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index, did make an interesting statement that housing prices have remained flat adjusted for inflation from 1890-1990.  After 1990, home prices took off.  Right now we are back to 2000-2003 depending on which index you look at.  Could housing fall to 1990 levels?  It’s hard to say and is almost impossible for anyone to predict.

 

Plymouth, MN Bank Owned Homes

Looking for bank owned homes in Plymouth, MN?  I’ve created a custom search for Plymouth, MN Bank Owned Homes.

If you would like to see any of them, please contact me.  If you’d like to see a different custom search, please let me know.

Relocating to Minneapolis and the Twin Cities Area – Where to Buy a Home

Considering relocating to the Minneapolis-St. Paul area otherwise known as the Twin Cities?  Take some time to learn about the area.  I specialize in selling homes in the western suburbs including Maple Grove, Plymouth, Minnetonka, Medina, Orono, Wayzata, St. Louis Park, Edina, Eden Prairie and Chanhassen to name a few of the suburbs west of Minneapolis.

The western suburbs of Minneapolis have some world class public as well as private schools.  Be sure to do your homework before purchasing your next home.  There are many wonderful older neighborhoods and there is another boom in new construction particularly in northwest Plymouth, MN.

If you’d like to search for homes for sale in the area, search the greater Minneapolis area MLS here.  If you’d like to talk about the area or tour homes and neighborhoods, please contact me.

 

Hennepin County Property Information Search by Address and Property ID

Hennepin County has an excellent site for property information.  The links are below.

Hennepin County Property Information by Address

Hennepin County Property Information by Property ID

Hennepin County Property Information by Addition Name

If you’d like to search the MLS, visit my search site at John Murphy Homes.

Twin Cities Real Estate Report for the Week Ending May 31, 2011

As I mentioned a couple of weeks ago, the Twin Cities housing market will start to look better now that the weekly comparables will be looking back to last year at this time when the tax credit had expired.  As expected, pending home sales look quite good this week according to the latest weekly Twin Cities housing report from the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors.

To quote the report:

The 889 purchase agreements signed in the Twin Cities for the week ending May 21 were 40.2 percent higher than the same week in 2010.  That’s a big number, and it’s certainly good news, but let’s break it down. Three short weeks ago, current sales activity was 37.4 percent below last year’s levels. The truth is current sales levels have been slowly but steadily increasing all year. The sudden change from negative to positive year-over-year Pending Sales comparisons reflects sharply declining 2010 post-tax credit activity rather than skyrocketing 2011 activity.  Even so, double-digit year-over-year gains are a welcome sight. The change in seller activity was less dramatic. New Listings were up 7.9 percent with 1,706 new homes introduced to the market.  This is the third consecutive week of year-over-year gains in listings, yet the three-month average shows a 19.7 percent decline compared to last year.  At 23,767, Active Listings for Sale are 10.0 percent lower than last year at this time.

This week was filled with lots of doom and gloom with the Case-Shiller report showing that housing might be going in to a double dip.  The fact of the matter is the rise we saw during the tax credit was artificial.  The housing market has continued to slide.  If you listened to the media, you’d think prices are crashing.  For most of the market, that is not the case…it continues to be a gradual decline for most areas.

The association also published the April 2011 monthly report for the Twin Cities housing market.  This data isn’t quite as volatile as the weekly report noted above.

Case-Shiller Index: Minneapolis Leads Decline in Home Prices – Down 10% Year Over Year

The Case-Shiller Home Price Index was released this morning.  The data is current through the month of March, 2011.  The headlines across the country is that housing is in a double dip – really?  Did it ever really bounce?  The data says it did during the time of the tax credit.  Generally speaking, home prices are continuing to decline here in the Twin Cities.  It’s not a rapid decline in most markets, but it’s soft – generally.  That said, I am continuing to see homes priced well and in excellent condition sell rapidly.  A quick search in the MLS and I can find dozens and dozens of homes that fit that description.

Below are some graphs taken from the Case-Shiller release.  (Click on image to enlarge in a new window).

Case-Shiller Home Prices thru March 2011

Case-Shiller Home Price Trend thru March 2011

Case-Shiller Home Price Table thru March 2011

The Minneapolis Area of Association of Realtors publishes specific data for over 200 cities and communities across the Twin Cities metro.  Click the link for Twin Cities Home Prices.  Also, you may want to check out the interactive tool published by 10k Research and the association.  It’s called The Thing and it’s an interactive home price tool for the Twin Cities.

Is There a New Construction Boom on the Horizon?

There have been lots of discussions about the state of the new construction/new home industry.  Home builders have pared back on their development projects.  However, as of late, I’ve been hearing more and more about new projects getting off the ground or the reignition of older projects that had been quiet.

This is an important and interesting debate.  While new home construction as of late has been at multi-decade lows, the demographics would say that there will need to be a large ramp up in new home construction within the next few years.  The point I would like to make is that while the U.S. economy is growing and the population is expanding, will the younger generation of home buyers desire the massive tract housing that the baby boomers and gen xers so readily accepted in the suburbs.  I’m not seeing that and I can’t quite get my head around it.

In any event, much smarter people than me have done the analysis and believe that we will again see 1.2-1.5 million units being built per year to accommodate the market needs.  That would put new construction once again close to its peak years. (I believe 1.7 million units/year was the previous peak.  Right now we are in the 350-550k range/year).

Yahoo’s The Daily Ticker has a good 5 minute discussion on this top.

Those of you who live in the northwest suburbs have certainly seen the new boom in new construction as the expansion in southern Maple Grove and northwest Plymouth has surprised a lot of people.  It’s a new bull market for developers and many home builders in Minnesota.

Plymouth, Maple Grove and Medina, MN Short Sales and Foreclosures List of Homes

There have been some very nice foreclosures and short sales that have been hitting the market in Plymouth as well as Maple Grove and Medina, MN.  If you’d like the list, contact me.  I can’t publish them here for your review sorry.  It’s a Board of Realtors rule.

Short Sales at Record Levels

According to this story from Short Sale Daily News, short sales are now at record levels.  We certainly are seeing this in the Twin Cities.  For some time, many industry pros have been saying that short sales will become the new REOs.  (If only that were true!)  We can get REOs sold and closed.  Short sales?  Not so much.